History Says Caulfield Cup – Time Will Tell

19 October, 2019

The Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup are both handicap races, but they boast a completely different weight profile for winners.

Where Makybe Diva is the only horse to carry the No.1 saddlecloth to victory in a Melbourne Cup in more than 60 years, the ‘toppy’ has a much better strike-rate in the $5 million Caulfield feature, winning five of the past 20.

Best Solution won under 57.5kg last year, joining Admire Rakti (58kg), Viewed (57kg), Northerly (58kg) and Sky Heights (56.5kg) as horses to do so under top weight since 1999, while Dunaden was No.2 when he carted 58kg equal-topweight to victory.

It makes Godolphin’s decision to line-up with Hartnell, who is this year’s topweight with 58kg, not as daunting as it might have seemed before the turn of the millennium.

Form Focus goes back 35 years and shows that from 1984 to 2001 just two of the 18 winners carried 55kg or more. Seven of the 17 editions since have been won by horses carrying at least 55kg, including five of the past seven. Read More…