Unaccomplished Japanese Horse at Top of Melbourne Cup Betting List

8 September, 2017

With precisely two months remaining before the 2017 edition of the Melbourne Cup, we present our latest installment in our series leading up to The Race That Stops a Nation.

Currently, two runners share favourtism for the race, one being last year’s winner Almandin and the other being Admire Deus of Japan. A check on the prices of the two horses on Ladbrokes.com.au shows a quote of $15.00.

Almandin is fairly well known in Australia and he is seen as a good chance or repeating.

Admire Deus is something of an anomaly. He is a 7YO chestnut horse of Japanese descent, sired by Admire Don from Royal Card. His lines are strictly northern hemisphere and once you get to grandsires and dams, U.S. stock makes up a lot of his heritage, with the exception of a smattering of Irish in him. Several generations back, multiple links to Canada’s Northern Dancer are encountered.

It is not a foregone conclusion that Admire Deus will contest the Melbourne Cup, but what we found interesting is how highly he is ranked in the betting. He does not even appear in the top-20 of the Longines world’s best racehorse rankings.

A look at his racing record reveals nothing, other than some good earnings, to justify his equal favourtism. He has made just 18 starts for approximately $AUD2.54 million, racing exclusively in Japan.

He has produced those figures with five wins and six placings, but he has never won beyond 2,500 metres. He has never won anything above Japan Group 2 level and has not won in 12 races since winning at Naka in March of 2015.

For the sake of comparison, we checked Ubet.com and found Almandin enjoying a one dollar advantage and it is a long time until the final field for the Melbourne Cup is set, so much can be and will be expected to change by the first Tuesday in November, but should Admire Deus be accepted and jump, he might put on a good race.